تـــــــداعيات التــــشتت الجيواقتصادي على الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the repercussions of Geoeconomic fragmentation on foreign direct investment (FDI) and its various channels, relying on the FDI Constraints Index, the Global Value Chain Disruption Index, and the Trade Policy Uncertainty Index. The importance of this topic is highlighted by the geopolitical shifts occurring in the global economy. This study employed a descriptive analytical approach to track the state of FDI globally, from the 2008 global financial crisis to the second half of 2026. The results showed that Geoeconomic fragmentation negatively impacted FDI, leading to a decrease in the volume of global investment flows, particularly in China and developing countries, which were previously considered the primary destinations for FDI. The study also revealed that FDI has become more responsive to geopolitical factors, both in its geographical distribution and its sectoral allocation. Furthermore, restrictions on the technology and semiconductor sectors have increased to stimulate domestic production.